- GuestGuest
Gifts of the Traveler
Tue Sep 14, 2010 10:06 am
So I always end up losing money when I buy Gifts of the Traveler, so I tried to figure out why. I used the drop rate research found on Guild Wars Wiki, I forget which. I multiplied the percentage chance of the drop by the value of the drop. I estimated the value of the drops, so comment if you think I estimated anything wrong.
10 Aged Hunter's Ales = 3000g x 0.0501 = 150.3
10 Hunter's Ales = 1000g x 0.0505 = 50.1
Keg of Aged Hunter's Ale = 13000g x 0.033 = 429
10 Champagne Poppers = 1500g x 0.0486 = 72.9
10 Bottle Rockets = 1500g x 0.049 = 73.5
10 Sparklers = 1500g x 0.0511 = 76.65
5 Crates of Fireworks = 5000g x 0.032 = 160
3 Disco Balls = 3000g x 0.0298 = 89.4
10 Jars of Honey = 3000g x 0.0477 = 143.1
10 Honeycombs = 3000g x 0.0467 = 140.1
5 Green Rock Candies = 2500g x 0.0492 = 123
5 Blue Rock Candies = 5000g x 0.0505 = 252.5
5 Red Rock Candies = 10000g x 0.0503 = 503
5 Mysterious Summoning Stones = 2500g x 0.15.31 = 382.75
5 Mercantile Summoning Stone = 2500g x 0.0557 = 139.25
5 Mysterious Tonics = 2500g x 0.1397 = 488.95
5 Cottontail Tonics = 2500g x 0.0474 = 118.5
Everlasting Cottontail Tonic = 280000g x 0.0006 = 168
Miniature Gwen Doll = 560000g x 0.0003 = 168
Miniature Proffesor Yakkington = 350000g x 0.0005 = 175
Miniature Brown Rabbit = 50000g x 0.0004 = 20
Vampiric Dragon Sword = 15000g x 0.002 = 30
Traveler's Bo Staff = 15000g x 0.0029 = 43.5
Traveler's Walking Stick = 15000g x 0.0019 = 28.5
Icy Dragon Sword = 15000g x 0.002 = 30
Ascalon Razor = 15000g x 0.0018 = 27
Moss Spider Egg = 30000g x 0.0025 = 75
Everlasting Crate of Fireworks = 500000g x 0.0005 = 250
150.3 + 50.1 + 429 + 72.9 + 73.5 + 76.65 + 160+ 89.4 + 143.1 + 140.1 + 123 + 252.5 + 503 + 382.75 + 139.25 + 488.95 + 118.5 + 168 + 168 + 175 + 20 + 30 + 43.5 + 28.5 + 30 + 27 + 75 250 = 4408
On average, from a Gift of the Traveler, your reward will be worth 4408g. I suggest not buying them for more than that.
10 Aged Hunter's Ales = 3000g x 0.0501 = 150.3
10 Hunter's Ales = 1000g x 0.0505 = 50.1
Keg of Aged Hunter's Ale = 13000g x 0.033 = 429
10 Champagne Poppers = 1500g x 0.0486 = 72.9
10 Bottle Rockets = 1500g x 0.049 = 73.5
10 Sparklers = 1500g x 0.0511 = 76.65
5 Crates of Fireworks = 5000g x 0.032 = 160
3 Disco Balls = 3000g x 0.0298 = 89.4
10 Jars of Honey = 3000g x 0.0477 = 143.1
10 Honeycombs = 3000g x 0.0467 = 140.1
5 Green Rock Candies = 2500g x 0.0492 = 123
5 Blue Rock Candies = 5000g x 0.0505 = 252.5
5 Red Rock Candies = 10000g x 0.0503 = 503
5 Mysterious Summoning Stones = 2500g x 0.15.31 = 382.75
5 Mercantile Summoning Stone = 2500g x 0.0557 = 139.25
5 Mysterious Tonics = 2500g x 0.1397 = 488.95
5 Cottontail Tonics = 2500g x 0.0474 = 118.5
Everlasting Cottontail Tonic = 280000g x 0.0006 = 168
Miniature Gwen Doll = 560000g x 0.0003 = 168
Miniature Proffesor Yakkington = 350000g x 0.0005 = 175
Miniature Brown Rabbit = 50000g x 0.0004 = 20
Vampiric Dragon Sword = 15000g x 0.002 = 30
Traveler's Bo Staff = 15000g x 0.0029 = 43.5
Traveler's Walking Stick = 15000g x 0.0019 = 28.5
Icy Dragon Sword = 15000g x 0.002 = 30
Ascalon Razor = 15000g x 0.0018 = 27
Moss Spider Egg = 30000g x 0.0025 = 75
Everlasting Crate of Fireworks = 500000g x 0.0005 = 250
150.3 + 50.1 + 429 + 72.9 + 73.5 + 76.65 + 160+ 89.4 + 143.1 + 140.1 + 123 + 252.5 + 503 + 382.75 + 139.25 + 488.95 + 118.5 + 168 + 168 + 175 + 20 + 30 + 43.5 + 28.5 + 30 + 27 + 75 250 = 4408
On average, from a Gift of the Traveler, your reward will be worth 4408g. I suggest not buying them for more than that.
Re: Gifts of the Traveler
Tue Sep 14, 2010 11:18 am
Well, math is not my forte in the least, and this looks amazing to me. Perhaps Dylan or Scott are better suited to let you know if the math is right.
- GuestGuest
Re: Gifts of the Traveler
Tue Sep 14, 2010 12:40 pm
I'm pretty sure my math is right, but I'm not sure my estimation of the prices is.
Re: Gifts of the Traveler
Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:09 pm
It looks like it's probably fine to me, though I don't feel like going through the entire mathematical formula myself. The thing about gifts of the traveller is that it's a crap shoot, and even with a reliable formula you're not necessarily going to get that return on them, no matter how many you buy/open. Still, it seems like a reasonable way of pricing what the presents themselves should cost to buy or sell, I guess.
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
|
|